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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 56,878.05 | 68.5 | 38,961.46 | +3,272.65 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 883.19 | 94.4 | 834.17 | +710.53 |
| Deel IPO before 2027?No | 854.81 | 97.6 | 833.87 | +261.14 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | 660.4 | 77.5 | 511.81 | +72.66 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 251 | 95.4 | 239.58 | +109.47 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 366.98 | 46 | 168.99 | +147.36 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?Yes | 8,848 | 0.8 | 66.36 | −765.35 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 1,633.04 | 3.2 | 51.44 | −1,162.27 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 42.72 | 71.7 | 30.63 | +28.49 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | 475.81 | 3.8 | 17.84 | −320.7 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | 14.63 | 89.2 | 13.05 | +9.6 |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 17,756.85 | 0 | 8.88 | −28.68 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 13,640.54 | 0 | 0 | −426.25 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | 10,096.44 | 0 | 0 | −706.59 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | 4,738.76 | 0 | 0 | −1,061.77 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 2,431.6 | 0 | 0 | −1,213.71 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | 4,492.59 | 0 | 0 | −134.67 |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | 1,096.17 | 0 | 0 | −446.15 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | 5,322.34 | 0 | 0 | −851.57 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 30,811.86 | 0 | 0 | −443.41 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | 14,623.69 | 0 | 0 | −44.54 |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | 59,124.06 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 1,186.72 | 0 | 0 | −127.41 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | 45,781.28 | 0 | 0 | −6,894.71 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | 27,853.7 | 0 | 0 | −8,533.51 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Yes | 10,711.93 | 0 | 0 | −53.56 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | 20,820.77 | 0 | 0 | −2,398.28 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Yes | 150 | 0 | 0 | −36 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 79,093.67 | 0 | 0 | −5,827.31 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | 12,516.15 | 0 | 0 | −2,726.26 |
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