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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 56 878,05 | 68,5 | 38 961,46 | +3 272,65 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 883,19 | 94,4 | 834,17 | +710,53 |
| Deel IPO before 2027?No | 854,81 | 97,6 | 833,87 | +261,14 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | 660,4 | 77,5 | 511,81 | +72,66 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 251 | 95,4 | 239,58 | +109,47 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | 366,98 | 46 | 168,99 | +147,36 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?Yes | 8 848 | 0,8 | 66,36 | −765,35 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 1 633,04 | 3,2 | 51,44 | −1 162,27 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 42,72 | 71,7 | 30,63 | +28,49 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | 475,81 | 3,8 | 17,84 | −320,7 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | 14,63 | 89,2 | 13,05 | +9,6 |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | 17 756,85 | 0 | 8,88 | −28,68 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 13 640,54 | 0 | 0 | −426,25 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Yes | 10 096,44 | 0 | 0 | −706,59 |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | 4 738,76 | 0 | 0 | −1 061,77 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 2 431,6 | 0 | 0 | −1 213,71 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | 4 492,59 | 0 | 0 | −134,67 |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | 1 096,17 | 0 | 0 | −446,15 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | 5 322,34 | 0 | 0 | −851,57 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 30 811,86 | 0 | 0 | −443,41 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | 14 623,69 | 0 | 0 | −44,54 |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | 59 124,06 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 1 186,72 | 0 | 0 | −127,41 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | 45 781,28 | 0 | 0 | −6 894,71 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | 27 853,7 | 0 | 0 | −8 533,51 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Yes | 10 711,93 | 0 | 0 | −53,56 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | 20 820,77 | 0 | 0 | −2 398,28 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?Yes | 150 | 0 | 0 | −36 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 79 093,67 | 0 | 0 | −5 827,31 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | 12 516,15 | 0 | 0 | −2 726,26 |
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