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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 13,800 | 86.5 | 11,937 | +483 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 15,517.28 | 76 | 11,793.14 | +2,281.82 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 2,887.99 | 92.5 | 2,671.39 | +196.84 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | 1,709.13 | 92.5 | 1,580.95 | +7.85 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes | 1,699.99 | 62.2 | 1,058.24 | −352.75 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | 2,000 | 28.5 | 570 | −50 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | 631.43 | 61.5 | 388.33 | +22.1 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4,400 | 5.5 | 242 | −110 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | 137.48 | 78.8 | 108.4 | +2.68 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 22 | 61.5 | 13.53 | −2.75 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No | 2.08 | 98.2 | 2.05 | +0.05 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 2.01 | 95.4 | 1.91 | +0.59 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | 2.15 | 88.2 | 1.89 | −0.11 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | 1.24 | 99.1 | 1.23 | +0.19 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | 1.03 | 98.3 | 1.01 | +0.01 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 2,067.28 | 0 | 0 | −753.99 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes | 56.37 | 0 | 0 | −35.09 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | 103.44 | 0 | 0 | −11.38 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 50,000 | 0 | 0 | −799.99 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | 20 | 0 | 0 | −12.2 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes | 2,652 | 0 | 0 | −1,881.87 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes | 3,000 | 0 | 0 | −2,399.8 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | 594.83 | 0 | 0 | −306.51 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes | 140 | 0 | 0 | −86.8 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | 2,224.1 | 0 | 0 | −183.95 |
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