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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 13 800 | 86,5 | 11 937 | +483 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | 15 517,28 | 76 | 11 793,14 | +2 281,82 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | 2 887,99 | 92,5 | 2 671,39 | +196,84 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | 1 709,13 | 92,5 | 1 580,95 | +7,85 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes | 1 699,99 | 62,8 | 1 066,74 | −344,25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No | 2 000 | 28,5 | 570 | −50 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No | 631,43 | 61,5 | 388,33 | +22,1 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | 4 400 | 5,5 | 242 | −110 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | 137,48 | 78,8 | 108,4 | +2,68 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 22 | 61,5 | 13,53 | −2,75 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?No | 2,08 | 97,8 | 2,04 | +0,04 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | 2,01 | 95,4 | 1,91 | +0,59 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | 2,15 | 88,1 | 1,89 | −0,11 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | 1,24 | 99,1 | 1,23 | +0,19 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No | 1,03 | 98,1 | 1,01 | +0,01 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | 2 067,28 | 0 | 0 | −753,99 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes | 56,37 | 0 | 0 | −35,09 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | 103,44 | 0 | 0 | −11,38 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 50 000 | 0 | 0 | −799,99 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | 20 | 0 | 0 | −12,2 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes | 2 652 | 0 | 0 | −1 881,87 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes | 3 000 | 0 | 0 | −2 399,8 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | 594,83 | 0 | 0 | −306,51 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes | 140 | 0 | 0 | −86,8 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | 2 224,1 | 0 | 0 | −183,95 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.