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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 375.1 | 72.6 | 272.51 | +252.66 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 738.14 | 33 | 243.59 | +163.73 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1,538.63 | 15 | 230.79 | +120.66 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1,789.91 | 9.6 | 172.73 | −269.26 |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1,842.11 | 4 | 73.68 | −5.59 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 116 | 50.8 | 58.93 | +53.38 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 700.21 | 7.5 | 52.52 | −121.52 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | 149.29 | 27 | 40.31 | −0.91 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 94.99 | 39.5 | 37.52 | +0.17 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 209.99 | 12.5 | 26.25 | −7.83 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 111 | 20 | 22.2 | +2.78 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?Yes | 115 | 17.5 | 20.12 | −0.57 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 100 | 14 | 14 | −8 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 85 | 15.5 | 13.18 | +9.68 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Yes | 234.19 | 4.7 | 11.01 | −1.41 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes | 40 | 24.5 | 9.8 | −0.6 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 120 | 8 | 9.6 | −3.05 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Yes | 80 | 8.5 | 6.8 | −0.26 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | 135.71 | 5 | 6.79 | −11.39 |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1,363 | 0.4 | 5.45 | −14.17 |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 15.5 | 4.65 | −0.15 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 53 | 8.6 | 4.56 | −3.68 |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1,290.88 | 0.3 | 3.87 | −6.08 |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1,032.73 | 0.3 | 3.1 | −2.13 |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1,231.27 | 0.2 | 3.08 | −2.16 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 65 | 4.5 | 2.92 | −2.28 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | 2.17 | 87.5 | 1.9 | +0.9 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 48.22 | 3.7 | 1.78 | +0.78 |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | 39.24 | 4.2 | 1.67 | −1.7 |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Yes | 4.58 | 35.6 | 1.63 | −0.37 |
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