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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 375,1 | 73 | 274,01 | +254,16 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 738,14 | 36,5 | 269,42 | +189,57 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1.538,63 | 15 | 230,79 | +120,66 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.789,91 | 9,8 | 174,52 | −267,47 |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1.842,11 | 4,7 | 86,58 | +7,31 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 825,21 | 7,5 | 61,89 | −122,15 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 116 | 52,6 | 60,96 | +55,41 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | 149,29 | 26,5 | 39,56 | −1,65 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 94,99 | 38 | 36,1 | −1,25 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 80 | 36,6 | 29,28 | +25,99 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 209,99 | 11 | 23,1 | −10,98 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 111 | 20,5 | 22,75 | +3,34 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?Yes | 115 | 18,5 | 21,27 | +0,57 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 100 | 14 | 14 | −8 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes | 40 | 25 | 10 | −0,4 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 120 | 8 | 9,6 | −3,05 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Yes | 234,19 | 3,8 | 8,78 | −3,64 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 53 | 13,4 | 7,13 | −1,11 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | 135,71 | 5 | 6,79 | −11,39 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Yes | 80 | 7,5 | 6 | −1,06 |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1.363 | 0,4 | 5,45 | −14,17 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Yes | 134,99 | 4 | 5,33 | −1,42 |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 15,5 | 4,65 | −0,15 |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1.290,88 | 0,3 | 3,87 | −6,08 |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1.032,73 | 0,3 | 3,1 | −2,13 |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1.231,27 | 0,2 | 3,08 | −2,16 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 65 | 4,5 | 2,92 | −2,28 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes | 28,57 | 7 | 1,99 | −0,01 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | 2,17 | 87,5 | 1,9 | +0,9 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 250 | 0,8 | 1,87 | −0,12 |
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