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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 738,14 | 38,5 | 284,18 | +204,33 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 375,1 | 72,8 | 272,89 | +253,04 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1 538,63 | 15 | 230,79 | +120,66 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1 789,91 | 10 | 179,89 | −262,1 |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1 842,11 | 4,5 | 82,89 | +3,62 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | 825,21 | 7,5 | 61,89 | −122,15 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 116 | 47,3 | 54,87 | +49,32 |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | 149,29 | 26,5 | 39,56 | −1,65 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 109,99 | 27,5 | 30,25 | −12,65 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 111 | 23 | 25,53 | +6,11 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?Yes | 115 | 21 | 24,15 | +3,45 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 209,99 | 11 | 23,1 | −10,98 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | 100 | 14 | 14 | −8 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 80 | 15,2 | 12,16 | +8,87 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 53 | 21,6 | 11,42 | +3,18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Yes | 40 | 26 | 10,4 | 0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 120 | 8,5 | 10,2 | −2,45 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Yes | 234,19 | 4,2 | 9,95 | −2,46 |
| Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1 363 | 0,6 | 7,5 | −12,13 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?Yes | 65 | 10,8 | 7,05 | +1,85 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | 135,71 | 5 | 6,79 | −11,39 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Yes | 80 | 7,5 | 6 | −1,06 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Yes | 134,99 | 4 | 5,33 | −1,42 |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes | 30 | 15,5 | 4,65 | −0,15 |
| Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1 290,88 | 0,3 | 3,87 | −6,08 |
| Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1 032,73 | 0,3 | 3,1 | −2,13 |
| Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | 1 231,27 | 0,2 | 3,08 | −2,16 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | 2,17 | 86,5 | 1,88 | +0,88 |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | 39,24 | 4,8 | 1,86 | −1,5 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 48,22 | 3,7 | 1,78 | +0,78 |
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