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Nearby in the ranking: #709 Don22 #710 loserforever10 #711 gopatriots #712 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3 #713 Ronaldo2100 #715 0xE594336603F4fB5d3ba4125a67021ab3B4347052-1769022918519 #716 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 #717 Siddhartha1 #718 aaaa298 #719 ZaiZoiBele
| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 21,103.93 | 93.5 | 19,732.18 | +282.24 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 12,911.38 | 91.5 | 11,813.91 | +567.21 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 17,078.53 | 67.5 | 11,528.01 | −390.26 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 10,026.02 | 91.5 | 9,173.81 | +84.62 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 11,103.02 | 81 | 8,993.45 | +684.47 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 9,864.22 | 77.5 | 7,644.77 | −228.4 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 6,058.02 | 86.4 | 5,234.13 | +201.87 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 5,054.9 | 98.4 | 4,976.54 | +64.81 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 4,808.02 | 94 | 4,517.14 | +72.15 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 4,617.28 | 96.6 | 4,457.98 | +38.93 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 5,603.42 | 79.5 | 4,454.72 | +751.25 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No | 4,099.03 | 97.6 | 4,002.7 | +2,194.7 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No | 3,961.79 | 99.4 | 3,940 | +3,260.87 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 4,000 | 96.8 | 3,874 | +339 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 4,665.19 | 82 | 3,827.79 | −266.42 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 5,255.29 | 72.5 | 3,810.08 | −312.6 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 4,000 | 92.5 | 3,700 | +20 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | 4,494.6 | 75.2 | 3,377.69 | −76.22 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | 3,287.45 | 93.5 | 3,073.76 | +34.35 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | 3,787.31 | 78.5 | 2,973.04 | +33.66 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 5,765.6 | 50.4 | 2,908.75 | −27.88 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | 4,070.59 | 68.5 | 2,788.35 | +19.13 |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No | 2,893 | 94.5 | 2,733.89 | +21.18 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | 4,203.34 | 62.5 | 2,627.08 | +547.47 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | 2,542.26 | 100 | 2,540.99 | +459.73 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 3,416.49 | 71.5 | 2,442.79 | −81.24 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 3,508.06 | 69.5 | 2,438.1 | +17.13 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | 2,633.35 | 85.5 | 2,251.51 | +778.86 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | 2,508.77 | 89.5 | 2,245.35 | +37.63 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | 2,626.18 | 85 | 2,232.25 | +17.01 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.