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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 19,528.8 | 86.5 | 16,892.41 | +1,792.08 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 14,502 | 92.5 | 13,414.35 | +72.51 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 12,753.05 | 96.8 | 12,351.33 | +5,685.27 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 12,780.99 | 86.5 | 11,055.55 | +605.64 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 14,754.41 | 65.5 | 9,664.14 | +303.17 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 10,634.87 | 89.5 | 9,518.21 | +1,636.32 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 8,989.99 | 88.5 | 7,956.14 | +322.42 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 8,431.92 | 61.5 | 5,185.63 | −1,252.55 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | 4,512.41 | 81.5 | 3,677.62 | +457.84 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | 2,321.67 | 91 | 2,112.72 | +726.98 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 6,798.81 | 28.5 | 1,937.66 | −504.96 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 3,568.74 | 36.5 | 1,302.59 | −475.4 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No | 1,287.98 | 93 | 1,197.82 | +571.86 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 2,981.17 | 37.5 | 1,117.94 | −516.32 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | 4,456 | 21.8 | 973.63 | +612.38 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | 1,120 | 83.5 | 935.2 | −28 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 1,004.99 | 70.5 | 708.52 | +25.12 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 1,005 | 58.5 | 587.92 | +65.32 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 884.83 | 55.4 | 490.64 | +127.16 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 3,057.97 | 15.4 | 472.46 | +256.84 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7,540.53 | 6 | 456.2 | +46.64 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2,734.05 | 13.5 | 369.1 | −64.23 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7,069.54 | 5 | 357.01 | −98.82 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | 372.46 | 92 | 342.66 | +145.26 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2,342 | 11.5 | 269.33 | −48.73 |
| Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes | 559 | 41 | 229.19 | −50.31 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 1,005 | 20.5 | 206.03 | +5.03 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 1,000 | 19.5 | 195 | −235 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 558.96 | 32.5 | 181.66 | −2.79 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | 137.89 | 87.5 | 120.65 | +53.09 |
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