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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 19 528,8 | 86,5 | 16 892,41 | +1 792,08 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | 14 502 | 92,5 | 13 414,35 | +72,51 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 12 753,05 | 96,8 | 12 351,33 | +5 685,27 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 12 780,99 | 86,5 | 11 055,55 | +605,64 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 14 754,41 | 65,5 | 9 664,14 | +303,17 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | 10 634,87 | 89,5 | 9 518,21 | +1 636,32 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 8 989,99 | 88,5 | 7 956,14 | +322,42 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 8 431,92 | 61,5 | 5 185,63 | −1 252,55 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | 4 512,41 | 81,5 | 3 677,62 | +457,84 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | 2 321,67 | 91 | 2 112,72 | +726,98 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | 6 798,81 | 28,5 | 1 937,66 | −504,96 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 3 568,74 | 36,5 | 1 302,59 | −475,4 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No | 1 287,98 | 93 | 1 197,82 | +571,86 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 2 981,17 | 37,5 | 1 117,94 | −516,32 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | 4 456 | 21,8 | 973,63 | +612,38 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | 1 120 | 83,5 | 935,2 | −28 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | 1 004,99 | 70,5 | 708,52 | +25,12 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 1 005 | 58,5 | 587,92 | +65,32 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | 884,83 | 55,4 | 490,64 | +127,16 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 3 057,97 | 15,4 | 472,46 | +256,84 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7 540,53 | 6 | 456,2 | +46,64 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2 734,05 | 13,5 | 369,1 | −64,23 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 7 069,54 | 5 | 357,01 | −98,82 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | 372,46 | 92 | 342,66 | +145,26 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | 2 342 | 11,5 | 269,33 | −48,73 |
| Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes | 559 | 41 | 229,19 | −50,31 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 1 005 | 20,5 | 206,03 | +5,03 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 1 000 | 19,5 | 195 | −235 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 558,96 | 32,5 | 181,66 | −2,79 |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?No | 137,89 | 87,5 | 120,65 | +53,09 |
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