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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | 2,793.95 | 97 | 2,710.13 | +111.32 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | 2,014.23 | 93 | 1,873.23 | +316.67 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 1,975.84 | 75 | 1,481.88 | +53.4 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | 1,404.45 | 97 | 1,362.32 | +88.32 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 1,500 | 90.5 | 1,357.5 | +37.5 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | 1,500 | 87.5 | 1,312.5 | −32.5 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | 1,250 | 93 | 1,162.5 | −11.5 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No | 1,065.53 | 96.2 | 1,025.04 | +98.57 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 745.39 | 100 | 745.01 | +50.64 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes | 1,421.84 | 41 | 582.95 | 0 |
| America.gov removed by October 31?No | 556.37 | 97.3 | 541.35 | +7.23 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | 451.58 | 94.5 | 426.75 | +0.04 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | 1,249.98 | 31.5 | 393.74 | +8.75 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | 414.73 | 94.5 | 391.92 | +1.88 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No | 400 | 65.5 | 262 | +18.55 |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes | 145.99 | 99.1 | 144.68 | +65.98 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No | 330 | 38.8 | 128.04 | +5.55 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | 2,499.98 | 4.6 | 113.75 | −47.11 |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?No | 93 | 95 | 88.35 | +2.79 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 90.56 | 94.8 | 85.81 | +17.64 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 141 | 47.9 | 67.54 | −3.21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 100 | 63.5 | 63.5 | +25.25 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | 1,499.99 | 4 | 60.75 | −37.07 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | 555 | 8.5 | 47.17 | −48.87 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 1,250 | 2.7 | 33.75 | −2 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?Yes | 65.05 | 50.2 | 32.66 | −0.84 |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes | 235 | 13 | 30.55 | −26.84 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No | 20 | 96.4 | 19.28 | +0.68 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | 20.02 | 23.5 | 4.7 | −4.5 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 1,500 | 0.2 | 3.75 | −0.75 |
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