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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | 43,131.28 | 99.4 | 42,850.93 | +2,110.91 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | 19,130.63 | 99.8 | 19,082.8 | +1,345.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 10,000 | 92.5 | 9,250 | −50 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 17,204.68 | 48.5 | 8,344.27 | +3,482.4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?No | 9,749.97 | 84 | 8,189.98 | −119.97 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 15,021.55 | 51 | 7,660.99 | +4,203.26 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 10,000 | 62.5 | 6,250 | −50 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 6,331.42 | 85.5 | 5,413.37 | +693.61 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No | 1,499.52 | 78 | 1,169.62 | +309.89 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 1,309.91 | 64.5 | 844.89 | +347.13 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1,621.88 | 50.5 | 819.05 | +241.4 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No | 625.34 | 90 | 562.81 | +231.61 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?No | 1,000 | 55.5 | 555 | +90 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 869.99 | 36.5 | 317.55 | −178.35 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 1,600 | 16 | 256.8 | −237.2 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 3,000 | 7.6 | 229.5 | −268.5 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?No | 254.39 | 85 | 216.36 | +0.13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Yes | 1,000 | 14 | 140 | −360 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?Yes | 275.25 | 11 | 30.14 | −10.6 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | 3,825.85 | 0.4 | 17.22 | −327.11 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | 200 | 2.6 | 5.1 | −12.3 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | 19.23 | 16.5 | 3.17 | −0.07 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | 100 | 1.2 | 1.25 | −39.55 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes | 4.77 | 5.2 | 0.25 | −0.56 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?Yes | 433 | 0 | 0 | −243.76 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | 1,189.67 | 0 | 0 | −120.29 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | 4,800 | 0 | 0 | −2,927.99 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 4, 2026?Yes | 2,518.15 | 0 | 0 | −25.18 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Yes | 667.09 | 0 | 0 | −13.34 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?Yes | 1,022.83 | 0 | 0 | −10.23 |
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