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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?No | 38,820.72 | 91.5 | 35,520.96 | +3,012.66 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | 21,729.88 | 96.4 | 20,947.6 | +770.91 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | 19,907.78 | 96.8 | 19,280.68 | +444.24 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 18,715.28 | 98.8 | 18,481.34 | +805.12 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No | 15,034.91 | 95.6 | 14,373.37 | +95.08 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | 9,149.24 | 97 | 8,879.33 | +122.08 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | 7,423.41 | 96.8 | 7,185.86 | +554.92 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | 6,951.56 | 93.8 | 6,517.09 | +161.93 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | 5,951.86 | 97.4 | 5,794.14 | +16.4 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | 5,072.54 | 97.8 | 4,963.48 | +253.08 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | 4,843.53 | 96.7 | 4,683.7 | +87.57 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?No | 4,522.57 | 95.5 | 4,319.06 | +272.62 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | 4,453.66 | 96 | 4,273.29 | +167 |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No | 3,910.57 | 97.4 | 3,808.89 | +63.89 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 3,849.49 | 96.9 | 3,730.16 | +22.46 |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No | 3,827.72 | 95.5 | 3,655.47 | +72.39 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | 3,767.8 | 92.5 | 3,485.22 | +216.89 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | 6,487.05 | 53 | 3,438.14 | +1,776.36 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | 3,352.87 | 95.5 | 3,201.99 | +54.61 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No | 3,274.44 | 97.4 | 3,187.67 | +55.27 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 3,412.94 | 91.5 | 3,122.84 | −17.58 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No | 3,025.48 | 98.1 | 2,968 | +21.4 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | 2,953.94 | 93.5 | 2,761.93 | +163.65 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | 2,689.59 | 94 | 2,528.22 | +63.02 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?No | 2,576.06 | 97.5 | 2,511.66 | +68.27 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?No | 2,337.95 | 98.6 | 2,304.05 | +59.62 |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No | 2,796.87 | 81.5 | 2,279.45 | +317.76 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | 2,272.75 | 97.2 | 2,207.98 | −6.16 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | 2,141.31 | 97.4 | 2,085.64 | −3.57 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | 10,356.08 | 20 | 2,071.22 | +127.06 |
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