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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | 17,641.5 | 8 | 1,411.32 | −736.9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 1,209.09 | 65.5 | 791.95 | +203.96 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 3,167.49 | 8.5 | 269.24 | −278.3 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 199.99 | 18.5 | 37 | +3 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | 525.46 | 7 | 36.78 | −18.57 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | 94.09 | 2.8 | 2.68 | −2.32 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 500 | 0.2 | 1.25 | −1.25 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 100 | 1 | 0.95 | −3.05 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 166.67 | 0.6 | 0.92 | −1.08 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 33.33 | 2.5 | 0.83 | −4.17 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 77.38 | 0 | 0 | −3 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes | 41.67 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | 413.72 | 0 | 0 | −7.71 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | 250 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | 60.61 | 0 | 0 | −2 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 1,213.18 | 0 | 0 | −20.8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | 59,165.65 | 0 | 0 | −13,955.05 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | 125 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 583.58 | 0 | 0 | −13.02 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | 572.14 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes | 28.57 | 0 | 0 | −1.09 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 1,468 | 0 | 0 | −5.6 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | 200 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?Yes | 1,758.76 | 0 | 0 | −105.4 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 623.72 | 0 | 0 | −7.5 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 91.13 | 0 | 0 | −0.65 |
| Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?Yes | 150 | 0 | 0 | −7.35 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 100.01 | 0 | 0 | −11.03 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 724.08 | 0 | 0 | −6 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 500 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
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