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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | 17.641,5 | 8 | 1.411,32 | −736,9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 1.209,09 | 65,5 | 791,95 | +203,96 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 3.167,49 | 8,5 | 269,24 | −278,3 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No | 199,99 | 18,5 | 37 | +3 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | 525,46 | 7 | 36,78 | −18,57 |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?Yes | 94,09 | 2,8 | 2,68 | −2,32 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 500 | 0,2 | 1,25 | −1,25 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 100 | 1 | 0,95 | −3,05 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 166,67 | 0,6 | 0,92 | −1,08 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 33,33 | 2,5 | 0,83 | −4,17 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 77,38 | 0 | 0 | −3 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes | 41,67 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | 413,72 | 0 | 0 | −7,71 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | 250 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | 60,61 | 0 | 0 | −2 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 1.213,18 | 0 | 0 | −20,8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | 59.165,65 | 0 | 0 | −13.955,05 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | 125 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 583,58 | 0 | 0 | −13,02 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | 572,14 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes | 28,57 | 0 | 0 | −1,09 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 1.468 | 0 | 0 | −5,6 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | 200 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?Yes | 1.758,76 | 0 | 0 | −105,4 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 623,72 | 0 | 0 | −7,5 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 91,13 | 0 | 0 | −0,65 |
| Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?Yes | 150 | 0 | 0 | −7,35 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 100,01 | 0 | 0 | −11,03 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | 724,08 | 0 | 0 | −6 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | 500 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
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