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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | 10,000.13 | 53 | 5,300.07 | +4,783.98 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | 10,000.13 | 32.5 | 3,250.04 | +2,733.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | 10,000.13 | 13.5 | 1,350.02 | +833.93 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | 1,100.23 | 98.8 | 1,086.48 | +4.77 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | 1,000 | 97 | 969.5 | +14.5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes | 1,500 | 61 | 915 | +748.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 516.17 | 99.4 | 513.33 | +1.29 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | 500 | 95.5 | 477.5 | +234.62 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes | 1,500 | 26.5 | 397.5 | +231 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | 400 | 96.5 | 386 | +10 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | 381.55 | 95.2 | 363.43 | +9.78 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | 361.9 | 93 | 336.57 | +19.82 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 300 | 97.3 | 291.9 | −0.6 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | 300.01 | 96.2 | 288.76 | +52.5 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 595 | 48 | 285.9 | +264.1 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 300 | 87.6 | 262.65 | +215.62 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | 595 | 32.5 | 193.38 | +171.58 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | 200 | 95.2 | 190.3 | +5.3 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | 200 | 90 | 180 | −2 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 200 | 86.5 | 173 | +5 |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes | 234.02 | 66.5 | 155.62 | +131.7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes | 9,294.89 | 1.6 | 153.37 | −298.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes | 1,500 | 9.5 | 142.5 | −24 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | 200 | 70.5 | 141 | +31 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | 150 | 93.4 | 140.18 | +5.48 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes | 500 | 27.5 | 137.5 | +117.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes | 500 | 25.5 | 127.5 | +107.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes | 500 | 24.5 | 122.5 | +102.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes | 500 | 22.5 | 112.5 | +92.52 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | 108.28 | 95.2 | 103.03 | +1.8 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.