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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | 6,133.79 | 83.5 | 5,121.71 | +952 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 5,000.1 | 96.8 | 4,837.6 | +1,313.93 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 6,999.97 | 65.5 | 4,584.98 | +180.01 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 4,624 | 89 | 4,115.36 | +422.87 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes | 3,883.37 | 49.5 | 1,922.27 | +292.03 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | 2,796.04 | 64.6 | 1,804.84 | −614.67 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 1,951.96 | 63.7 | 1,243.4 | +394.38 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes | 3,529.53 | 34.5 | 1,217.69 | +253.98 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Yes | 2,877.75 | 40.5 | 1,165.49 | −107.18 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 1,146.18 | 79 | 905.49 | +336.82 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?Yes | 2,646.94 | 32.5 | 860.25 | +47.2 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes | 1,777.01 | 43.5 | 773 | +127.38 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes | 1,769.2 | 40 | 707.68 | −147.41 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | 734.24 | 95.1 | 698.26 | +170.58 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Yes | 2,071.49 | 32.5 | 673.24 | +51.38 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes | 1,783.87 | 32.5 | 579.76 | +3.09 |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | 1,672.42 | 30.5 | 510.09 | −80.94 |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | 1,690.08 | 27.5 | 464.77 | −59.01 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 684.16 | 62 | 424.18 | +73.46 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?Yes | 2,489.35 | 15.5 | 385.85 | −13.87 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | 519.99 | 70 | 363.99 | −7.2 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 850 | 42.5 | 361.25 | +39.62 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 693.23 | 49.5 | 343.15 | +23.21 |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes | 966.16 | 28 | 270.53 | +61.65 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 403.3 | 56.5 | 227.86 | +6.91 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Yes | 3,873.05 | 5.5 | 213.02 | −674.37 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?Yes | 1,112.74 | 18.5 | 205.86 | +57.43 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 1,000 | 20.5 | 205 | −45 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Yes | 1,905.06 | 10 | 190.51 | −155.33 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?Yes | 1,431.25 | 13 | 186.06 | +42.44 |
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