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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No | 6 133,79 | 83,5 | 5 121,71 | +952 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | 5 000,1 | 96,8 | 4 837,6 | +1 313,93 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 6 999,97 | 65,5 | 4 584,98 | +180,01 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 4 624 | 86,5 | 3 999,76 | +307,27 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Yes | 3 883,37 | 49,5 | 1 922,27 | +292,03 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | 2 796,04 | 64,6 | 1 804,84 | −614,67 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | 1 951,96 | 64,1 | 1 251,21 | +402,19 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes | 3 529,53 | 34 | 1 200,04 | +236,33 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?Yes | 2 877,75 | 40 | 1 151,1 | −121,57 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | 1 146,18 | 79 | 905,49 | +336,82 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?Yes | 2 646,94 | 32,5 | 860,25 | +47,2 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Yes | 1 777,01 | 43,5 | 773 | +127,38 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes | 1 769,2 | 40 | 707,68 | −147,41 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No | 734,24 | 95,1 | 698,26 | +170,58 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Yes | 2 071,49 | 32,5 | 673,24 | +51,38 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Yes | 1 783,87 | 32,5 | 579,76 | +3,09 |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | 1 672,42 | 33 | 551,9 | −39,13 |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | 1 690,08 | 27,5 | 464,77 | −59,01 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes | 684,16 | 60 | 410,5 | +59,77 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?Yes | 2 489,35 | 15,5 | 385,85 | −13,87 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 850 | 45 | 382,5 | +60,87 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes | 519,99 | 70 | 363,99 | −7,2 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Yes | 693,23 | 49,5 | 343,15 | +23,21 |
| Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes | 966,16 | 29,5 | 285,02 | +76,15 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 403,3 | 56,5 | 227,86 | +6,91 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Yes | 3 873,05 | 5,5 | 213,02 | −674,37 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?Yes | 1 112,74 | 18,5 | 205,86 | +57,43 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | 1 000 | 20,5 | 205 | −45 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?Yes | 1 905,06 | 10 | 190,51 | −155,33 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in September?Yes | 1 431,25 | 13 | 186,06 | +42,44 |
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