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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | 49 728,52 | 97,2 | 48 360,99 | +5 279,33 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | 20 545,23 | 97,5 | 20 031,6 | +2 118,95 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | 14 910,17 | 71,2 | 10 623,5 | −608,14 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | 11 784,08 | 86 | 10 128,41 | +208,78 |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | 8 026,76 | 94,6 | 7 597,32 | +210,18 |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | 6 634,43 | 92,5 | 6 136,85 | +528,03 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | 11 641,2 | 39,5 | 4 598,27 | −1 424,66 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No | 6 931,31 | 65 | 4 505,35 | +786,36 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | 4 105,85 | 79,5 | 3 264,15 | +290,06 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | 3 675,69 | 86,5 | 3 179,47 | +155,02 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | 3 016,6 | 95,6 | 2 882,36 | +16,32 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | 2 164,67 | 96,8 | 2 094,32 | +52,94 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?No | 838,32 | 89,1 | 746,94 | +170,79 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 790,03 | 91 | 719,33 | +40,93 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | 757,07 | 35 | 264,97 | −15,14 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?No | 76,84 | 42 | 32,31 | −14,56 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?Yes | 712,3 | 4,4 | 31,7 | −164,65 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?Yes | 333,76 | 2,6 | 8,51 | −64,92 |
| Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 5 098,64 | 0 | 0 | −858,85 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | 11 080,94 | 0 | 0 | −1 931,34 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | 17 891,67 | 0 | 0 | −2 761,15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | 3 012,03 | 0 | 0 | −500 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | 2 758,22 | 0 | 0 | −956,49 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds | 416,66 | 0 | 0 | −250 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes | 417,97 | 0 | 0 | −37,62 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?Yes | 1 250 | 0 | 0 | −250 |
| Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | 721,74 | 0 | 0 | −498 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Yes | 143,55 | 0 | 0 | −54,55 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | 1 | 0 | 0 | −0,69 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | 2 941,16 | 0 | 0 | −455,88 |
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