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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?No | 105.86 | 80.4 | 85.11 | −0.22 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | 100.01 | 40.5 | 40.5 | +0.5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 199.99 | 1.6 | 3.3 | −33.7 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | 62.68 | 3.6 | 2.26 | −10.28 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?Yes | 39.35 | 0.7 | 0.28 | −1.17 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLD?Yes | 20.01 | 0.6 | 0.11 | −0.62 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 5?Yes | 25.63 | 0 | 0 | −2.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes | 5 | 0 | 0 | −3.95 |
| Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | 799.99 | 0 | 0 | −33.33 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?Yes | 25.63 | 0 | 0 | −2.33 |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | 5,999.98 | 0 | 0 | −176.47 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | 799.99 | 0 | 0 | −33.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 6?Yes | 182.81 | 0 | 0 | −1.41 |
| Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?Yes | 31.97 | 0 | 0 | −3.2 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | 5,999.98 | 0 | 0 | −176.47 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | 183.77 | 0 | 0 | −6.34 |
| Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 2,714.41 | 0 | 0 | −180.96 |
| Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes | 265.51 | 0 | 0 | −10.8 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 5?Yes | 4.57 | 0 | 0 | −0.42 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | 383.77 | 0 | 0 | −13.23 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | 1,399.99 | 0 | 0 | −41.18 |
| US bank failure by July 31?No | 457.84 | 0 | 0 | −8.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?Yes | 80.79 | 0 | 0 | −7.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 4?Yes | 9.72 | 0 | 0 | −0.49 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?No | 182.34 | 0 | 0 | −0.18 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?No | 5,000 | 0 | 0 | −55 |
| Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | 2,714.41 | 0 | 0 | −180.96 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on July 5?Yes | 10.63 | 0 | 0 | −0.97 |
| Will Sam Apuzzo win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?Yes | 25 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | 383.77 | 0 | 0 | −13.23 |
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