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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 7 403,76 | 80,5 | 5 960,03 | +320,1 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 5 039,25 | 45 | 2 270,18 | +968,13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 2 055,25 | 89,5 | 1 839,45 | +54,73 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 1 996,49 | 76 | 1 517,33 | +1 103,8 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 3 043,45 | 48,5 | 1 476,07 | −63,85 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | 2 329,2 | 60,5 | 1 409,16 | +493,81 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | 1 387,13 | 85,5 | 1 186 | −34,44 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 3 073,1 | 36,5 | 1 121,68 | −206,14 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?No | 2 137,54 | 46 | 983,27 | −63,21 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No | 1 105,08 | 85,5 | 944,84 | +277,83 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?No | 932,13 | 98,9 | 921,88 | +31,2 |
| Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Yes | 896,11 | 98,6 | 883,12 | +23,51 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 2 028,77 | 41,2 | 836,87 | −18,46 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | 3 723,03 | 19,5 | 725,99 | −109,8 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | 670,5 | 99,6 | 667,48 | +108,76 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | 1 047,95 | 59,5 | 623,53 | +284,27 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes | 862,01 | 64,6 | 556,43 | +47,86 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 1 502,39 | 37 | 555,13 | −46,46 |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | 1 937,28 | 28,5 | 552,12 | −742,53 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | 529,71 | 98 | 518,85 | +17,22 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | 883,09 | 58,5 | 516,61 | +76,78 |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | 1 004,78 | 50,5 | 507,41 | +74,25 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | 662 | 61,5 | 407,13 | −89,37 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | 668,05 | 58,5 | 390,81 | +54,24 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | 1 679,13 | 21 | 352,62 | −392,82 |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes | 1 155,23 | 29,5 | 340,79 | −6,36 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 7 034,51 | 4 | 284,9 | −367,49 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 726,86 | 36,5 | 265,3 | −8,9 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Yes | 959,14 | 26,5 | 254,17 | +38,58 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 2 698,04 | 8,5 | 229,33 | −186,43 |
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