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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | 3,434.08 | 99.4 | 3,415.2 | +758.3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No | 3,229.57 | 99.4 | 3,208.58 | +690.8 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?No | 1,913.05 | 83.5 | 1,597.4 | +385.72 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 500 | 87.5 | 437.5 | +50.72 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?No | 341 | 98.6 | 336.4 | +288.87 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 200 | 78.5 | 157 | +3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?No | 126.29 | 94 | 118.71 | +30.8 |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Yes | 279.85 | 42 | 117.54 | +12.79 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 80 | 96.1 | 76.88 | +68.08 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No | 229.47 | 33 | 75.72 | −0.52 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 19.5 | 9.75 | +6.25 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | 24.99 | 6 | 1.5 | −3.75 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29?Yes | 397.26 | 0 | 0 | −47.56 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | 1,840.15 | 0 | 0 | −190.03 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 55.56 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | 17.68 | 0 | 0 | −3 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 43.48 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | 10 | 0 | 0 | −3.6 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak DjokovicArthur Rinderknech | 14.42 | 0 | 0 | −3 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves | 5 | 0 | 0 | −3.7 |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | 125 | 0 | 0 | −40 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | 30 | 0 | 0 | −17.7 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 4,433.96 | 0 | 0 | −9.29 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?No | 32.5 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | 16.39 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | 6.58 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | 10 | 0 | 0 | −3.2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?No | 1,151.82 | 0 | 0 | −333.4 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?No | 974.9 | 0 | 0 | −79.21 |
| Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya JointSerena Williams | 41.67 | 0 | 0 | −10 |
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