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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 16,000 | 93.5 | 14,960 | +751.5 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | 12,000 | 96 | 11,514 | +47.18 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | 8,000 | 83.5 | 6,680 | +209.47 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No | 6,150 | 89.5 | 5,504.25 | +521.38 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | 4,570 | 97.4 | 4,453.47 | +9.82 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | 3,575 | 98.4 | 3,517.8 | +179.82 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | 3,000 | 95.5 | 2,865 | +95.82 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | 2,499.96 | 71.5 | 1,787.47 | −345.23 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No | 1,455 | 99.6 | 1,448.45 | +65.29 |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?No | 693.77 | 97.1 | 673.65 | +31.43 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No | 550 | 90 | 495 | +76.93 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?No | 533.02 | 84 | 447.74 | +37.36 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | 500 | 86.5 | 432.5 | +7.5 |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?No | 406.92 | 99.2 | 403.67 | +1.77 |
| Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?No | 199.05 | 94 | 187.11 | +6.72 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | 190.53 | 96.8 | 184.53 | +3.91 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?No | 200 | 89.5 | 179 | +13 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 100 | 70.5 | 70.5 | −15.5 |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by September 30?No | 0.19 | 100 | 0.19 | 0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | 500 | 0 | 0 | −469.85 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.