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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 8.000 | 93,5 | 7.480 | −40 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | 6.450 | 97 | 6.253,27 | +81,19 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 6.317,15 | 83 | 5.243,23 | −195 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 5.399,98 | 89,5 | 4.832,98 | +296,51 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 4.450 | 88,5 | 3.938,25 | −6,74 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 4.264,45 | 85,5 | 3.646,1 | +95,44 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | 3.500 | 93 | 3.255 | +28,5 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 3.100 | 86 | 2.666 | +266,01 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 2.900 | 82,5 | 2.392,5 | +217,5 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | 2.214,95 | 98,6 | 2.182,83 | +221,88 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No | 2.000 | 96 | 1.921 | +10 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 2.000 | 88,5 | 1.770 | +50 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | 1.799,99 | 94,5 | 1.700,99 | +25 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | 1.821,98 | 93 | 1.693,53 | +30,39 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 3.065,49 | 50,5 | 1.548,07 | −41,08 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 2.499,83 | 60,5 | 1.512,4 | +226,16 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | 1.474,07 | 90 | 1.326,66 | +14,74 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?No | 1.567,64 | 77,5 | 1.214,92 | +269,06 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | 1.271,91 | 86,5 | 1.100,2 | +129,93 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 1.228,47 | 87,6 | 1.075,53 | +75,1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 3.000 | 32 | 960 | −90 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | 912,37 | 94,5 | 862,19 | +4,74 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 1.040 | 81,5 | 847,6 | −98,8 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 1.479,43 | 20,5 | 303,28 | −132,95 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | 150,13 | 99,2 | 148,85 | +48,36 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?No | 101,86 | 99,5 | 101,35 | +5,79 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?Yes | 72,99 | 9 | 6,57 | −40,14 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 6.562,23 | 0 | 0 | −122 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | 700 | 0 | 0 | −12,6 |
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