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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 8 000 | 93,5 | 7 480 | −40 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | 6 450 | 97,4 | 6 285,52 | +113,44 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 6 317,15 | 85 | 5 369,58 | −68,65 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 5 399,98 | 89,5 | 4 832,98 | +296,51 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 4 450 | 91,5 | 4 071,75 | +126,76 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 4 264,45 | 87 | 3 710,07 | +159,41 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | 3 500 | 94 | 3 290 | +63,5 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 3 100 | 86,5 | 2 681,5 | +281,51 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 2 900 | 82,5 | 2 392,5 | +217,5 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | 2 214,95 | 98,6 | 2 183,94 | +222,99 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No | 2 000 | 96 | 1 921 | +10 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 2 000 | 88,5 | 1 770 | +50 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | 1 799,99 | 94,5 | 1 700,99 | +25 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | 1 821,98 | 93 | 1 693,53 | +30,39 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 3 065,49 | 50,5 | 1 548,07 | −41,08 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 2 499,83 | 59,5 | 1 487,4 | +201,16 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | 1 474,07 | 91,5 | 1 348,77 | +36,85 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?No | 1 567,64 | 77,5 | 1 214,92 | +269,06 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | 1 271,91 | 86,5 | 1 100,2 | +129,93 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 1 228,47 | 87,7 | 1 077,37 | +76,94 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 3 000 | 30 | 900 | −150 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | 912,37 | 94,5 | 862,19 | +4,74 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 1 040 | 81,5 | 847,6 | −98,8 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 1 479,43 | 19,5 | 288,49 | −147,74 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | 150,13 | 99,2 | 148,85 | +48,36 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?No | 101,86 | 99,7 | 101,55 | +5,99 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes | 53,96 | 79,5 | 42,89 | +0,27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | 6 562,23 | 0 | 0 | −122 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | 700 | 0 | 0 | −12,6 |
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