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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 8.000 | 93,5 | 7.480 | −40 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | 6.450 | 96,6 | 6.230,7 | +58,62 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 6.317,15 | 82,5 | 5.211,65 | −226,58 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | 5.399,98 | 90 | 4.859,98 | +323,51 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 4.450 | 87,5 | 3.893,75 | −51,24 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No | 4.264,45 | 84 | 3.582,14 | +31,48 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No | 3.500 | 92,5 | 3.237,5 | +11 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | 3.100 | 84,5 | 2.619,5 | +219,51 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | 2.900 | 82,5 | 2.392,5 | +217,5 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | 2.214,95 | 98,4 | 2.180,62 | +219,67 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No | 2.000 | 96 | 1.921 | +10 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 2.000 | 87,5 | 1.750 | +30 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | 1.821,98 | 93 | 1.693,53 | +30,39 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | 1.799,99 | 93,5 | 1.682,99 | +7 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | 3.065,49 | 50,5 | 1.548,07 | −41,08 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 2.499,83 | 60,5 | 1.512,4 | +226,16 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | 1.474,07 | 89 | 1.311,92 | 0 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?No | 1.567,64 | 77,5 | 1.214,92 | +269,06 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | 1.271,91 | 86,5 | 1.100,2 | +129,93 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | 1.228,47 | 87,4 | 1.074,3 | +73,87 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 3.000 | 31,5 | 945 | −105 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | 912,37 | 94,5 | 862,19 | +4,74 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 1.040 | 81,5 | 847,6 | −98,8 |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?No | 524,05 | 100 | 523,79 | +46,01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 1.479,43 | 21,5 | 318,08 | −118,16 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | 150,13 | 99,2 | 148,93 | +48,43 |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30?No | 101,86 | 100 | 101,8 | +6,24 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24?Yes | 72,99 | 9 | 6,57 | −40,14 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | 700 | 0 | 0,35 | −12,25 |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Yes | 365,28 | 0 | 0,18 | −24,52 |
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