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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | 7,373.51 | 0 | 0 | −1,958.28 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | 4,237.88 | 0 | 0 | −106.59 |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | 9,401.48 | 0 | 0 | −1,032.47 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | 420 | 0 | 0 | −145 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | 40,000 | 0 | 0 | −760 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | 146,382.56 | 0 | 0 | −17,164.23 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | 497.09 | 0 | 0 | −23.96 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | 1,776.64 | 0 | 0 | −741.1 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | 626.86 | 0 | 0 | −94.03 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | 10,799.95 | 0 | 0 | −756 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | 5,613.6 | 0 | 0 | −160.22 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | 35,091.81 | 0 | 0 | −468.79 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | 7,725.16 | 0 | 0 | −1,038.89 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?Yes | 37,436.54 | 0 | 0 | −996.11 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | 585.01 | 0 | 0 | −11.7 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.