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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | 6,846.35 | 69.5 | 4,758.21 | +69.27 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | 5,470.17 | 78.1 | 4,272.2 | −95 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 6,053.65 | 68.5 | 4,146.75 | +39.4 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 3,862.62 | 76.5 | 2,954.91 | +1,978.32 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 3,125.9 | 81.5 | 2,547.61 | −127.87 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 6,846.34 | 29.7 | 2,033.36 | +1.61 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2,410.19 | 79.5 | 1,916.1 | −196.43 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6,053.54 | 29.5 | 1,785.79 | −45.44 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | 1,838.03 | 96.2 | 1,769.1 | +17.13 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 8,593.78 | 18 | 1,546.88 | +629.42 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Yes | 1,199.14 | 100 | 1,198.54 | +45.3 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No | 3,451.68 | 23.5 | 811.14 | −1,603.47 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1,069.69 | 58.5 | 625.77 | −187.92 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 2,410.17 | 22 | 530.24 | +281.77 |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes | 425.27 | 94.5 | 401.88 | +77.63 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?No | 389.11 | 97 | 377.63 | +22.25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026?No | 383.4 | 96.6 | 370.36 | +16.48 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 865.08 | 41 | 354.68 | +149.09 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?No | 341 | 97.3 | 331.79 | +18.78 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 340.34 | 96.5 | 328.43 | +18.57 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 420 | 71 | 298.2 | +12.6 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 360 | 77.5 | 279 | −59.4 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30?No | 219.9 | 99.2 | 218.25 | +0.45 |
| Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes | 326 | 63.5 | 207.01 | −6.88 |
| Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026?No | 216 | 93.1 | 201.1 | +6.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 707.7 | 24 | 169.85 | −387.9 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | 5,181.99 | 2.6 | 132.14 | −477.05 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 189.22 | 67.5 | 127.72 | +0.41 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 420 | 28.5 | 119.7 | −10.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?No | 119.34 | 98 | 116.89 | +9.49 |
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