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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | 6.846,35 | 69,5 | 4.758,21 | +69,27 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | 5.470,17 | 78,1 | 4.272,2 | −95 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 6.053,65 | 68,5 | 4.146,75 | +39,4 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 3.862,62 | 76,5 | 2.954,91 | +1.978,32 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 3.125,9 | 81,5 | 2.547,61 | −127,87 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 6.846,34 | 29,7 | 2.033,36 | +1,61 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2.410,19 | 79,5 | 1.916,1 | −196,43 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 6.053,54 | 29,5 | 1.785,79 | −45,44 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | 1.838,03 | 96,2 | 1.769,1 | +17,13 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 8.593,78 | 18 | 1.546,88 | +629,42 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Yes | 1.199,14 | 100 | 1.198,54 | +45,3 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No | 3.451,68 | 23,5 | 811,14 | −1.603,47 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.069,69 | 58,5 | 625,77 | −187,92 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 2.410,17 | 22 | 530,24 | +281,77 |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes | 425,27 | 94,5 | 401,88 | +77,63 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?No | 389,11 | 97 | 377,63 | +22,25 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026?No | 383,4 | 96,6 | 370,36 | +16,48 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 865,08 | 41 | 354,68 | +149,09 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?No | 341 | 97,3 | 331,79 | +18,78 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 340,34 | 96,5 | 328,43 | +18,57 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 420 | 71 | 298,2 | +12,6 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 360 | 77,5 | 279 | −59,4 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30?No | 219,9 | 99,2 | 218,25 | +0,45 |
| Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes | 326 | 63,5 | 207,01 | −6,88 |
| Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026?No | 216 | 93,1 | 201,1 | +6,5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 707,7 | 24 | 169,85 | −387,9 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | 5.181,99 | 2,6 | 132,14 | −477,05 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 189,22 | 67,5 | 127,72 | +0,41 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 420 | 28,5 | 119,7 | −10,5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?No | 119,34 | 98 | 116,89 | +9,49 |
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