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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?No | 7.269,72 | 70,5 | 5.125,15 | +178,72 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes | 6.846,35 | 71,5 | 4.895,14 | +206,2 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | 5.470,17 | 80,4 | 4.395,28 | +28,08 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 3.807,62 | 76,5 | 2.912,83 | +1.950,15 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | 3.125,9 | 81,5 | 2.547,61 | −127,87 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 7.269,61 | 28,5 | 2.071,84 | −112,06 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | 6.846,34 | 29,4 | 2.009,4 | −22,36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 2.410,19 | 75,5 | 1.819,69 | −292,84 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | 1.838,03 | 96,2 | 1.769,1 | +17,13 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | 8.593,78 | 17,5 | 1.503,91 | +586,46 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?No | 3.396,68 | 24,5 | 832,19 | −1.543,96 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.069,69 | 55 | 588,33 | −225,35 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 2.410,17 | 22,5 | 542,29 | +293,82 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?No | 389,11 | 97 | 377,63 | +22,25 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes | 865,08 | 43 | 371,98 | +166,39 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 10, 2026?No | 356,37 | 96,6 | 344,25 | +15,32 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 340,34 | 96,6 | 328,94 | +19,08 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 11, 2026?No | 313,97 | 97 | 304,55 | +16,35 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | 420 | 72 | 302,4 | +16,8 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 360 | 77,5 | 279 | −59,4 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30?No | 219,9 | 99,2 | 218,25 | +0,45 |
| Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Yes | 326 | 63,5 | 207,01 | −6,88 |
| Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026?No | 216 | 93 | 200,99 | +6,39 |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes | 188,27 | 97,8 | 184,22 | +40,68 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 707,7 | 25,5 | 180,46 | −377,28 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes | 189,22 | 73,5 | 139,08 | +11,76 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | 5.181,99 | 2,6 | 132,14 | −477,05 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes | 420 | 28,5 | 119,7 | −10,5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 21, 2026?No | 119,34 | 98 | 116,89 | +9,49 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes | 209,59 | 50,5 | 105,84 | +5,19 |
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