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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 7,598.03 | 27.5 | 2,089.46 | −1,201.36 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3,344.86 | 54.5 | 1,822.95 | −149.58 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No | 647.18 | 98.2 | 635.53 | +28.15 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 903.88 | 63.5 | 573.96 | +176.19 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 1,080 | 38.5 | 415.8 | +336.48 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes | 786.87 | 42 | 330.49 | +65.08 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1,868.87 | 17.5 | 327.05 | −196.35 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes | 999.41 | 32 | 319.81 | −137.46 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 669.36 | 44.5 | 297.87 | −58.81 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 933.68 | 22 | 205.41 | −202.19 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 296.26 | 48.5 | 143.69 | +1.36 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3,280.68 | 4.4 | 142.71 | −92 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 7,962.4 | 1.4 | 115.45 | −39.92 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 84 | 98.8 | 82.99 | +7.03 |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No | 63.06 | 97.5 | 61.48 | −0.25 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 95 | 47.52 | +18.02 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 80.1 | 51.5 | 41.25 | +3.6 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | 45 | 74 | 33.3 | +6.05 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Yes | 3,376.24 | 0.8 | 28.7 | −1,059.24 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 653.7 | 4.2 | 27.78 | −6.05 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 31.4 | 48 | 15.07 | +13.19 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 20 | 72 | 14.39 | +12.85 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 142.46 | 9.5 | 13.53 | −16.98 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 215.4 | 3.2 | 6.79 | −16.27 |
| Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | 3.72 | 91.5 | 3.4 | +0.43 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 56 | 0.6 | 0.36 | +0.13 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 19.99 | 0 | 0.01 | −0.19 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 19.99 | 0 | 0.01 | −0.19 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | 166.47 | 0 | 0 | −0.17 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 4,137.29 | 0 | 0 | −442.25 |
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