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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 7.598,03 | 27,5 | 2.089,46 | −1.201,36 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3.344,86 | 54,5 | 1.822,95 | −149,58 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No | 647,18 | 98,2 | 635,53 | +28,15 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 903,88 | 63,5 | 573,96 | +176,19 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 1.080 | 38,5 | 415,8 | +336,48 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes | 786,87 | 42 | 330,49 | +65,08 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 1.868,87 | 17,5 | 327,05 | −196,35 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes | 999,41 | 32 | 319,81 | −137,46 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 669,36 | 44,5 | 297,87 | −58,81 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 933,68 | 22 | 205,41 | −202,19 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 296,26 | 48,5 | 143,69 | +1,36 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 3.280,68 | 4,4 | 142,71 | −92 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 7.962,4 | 1,4 | 115,45 | −39,92 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | 84 | 98,8 | 82,99 | +7,03 |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?No | 63,06 | 97,5 | 61,48 | −0,25 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 95 | 47,52 | +18,02 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 80,1 | 51,5 | 41,25 | +3,6 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | 45 | 74 | 33,3 | +6,05 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Yes | 3.376,24 | 0,8 | 28,7 | −1.059,24 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 653,7 | 4,2 | 27,78 | −6,05 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 31,4 | 48 | 15,07 | +13,19 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 20 | 72 | 14,39 | +12,85 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 142,46 | 9,5 | 13,53 | −16,98 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 215,4 | 3,2 | 6,79 | −16,27 |
| Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | 3,72 | 91,5 | 3,4 | +0,43 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 56 | 0,6 | 0,36 | +0,13 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 19,99 | 0 | 0,01 | −0,19 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 19,99 | 0 | 0,01 | −0,19 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | 166,47 | 0 | 0 | −0,17 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 4.137,29 | 0 | 0 | −442,25 |
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