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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | 63,164.89 | 78.5 | 49,584.44 | +21,616.07 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | 62,540.87 | 75.5 | 47,218.36 | +25,041.25 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | 28,909.98 | 97.2 | 28,086.05 | +1,906.21 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | 12,567.95 | 66 | 8,294.84 | +3,048.2 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | 34,579.49 | 19 | 6,570.1 | +1,444.46 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 24,768.02 | 15.6 | 3,851.43 | −3,564.2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | 13,678.7 | 22.5 | 3,077.71 | +1,509.78 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes | 54,007.69 | 5 | 2,673.38 | −1,049.49 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | 11,600 | 18.5 | 2,146 | +745.96 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes | 15,399.8 | 13.5 | 2,078.97 | −5,003.86 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes | 15,476.68 | 9.5 | 1,470.28 | −1,403.43 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 7,070.87 | 20.5 | 1,449.53 | −1,957.37 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes | 13,654.06 | 9.5 | 1,297.14 | −1,423.87 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | 77,679.52 | 1.6 | 1,242.87 | −1,795.02 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes | 11,030.19 | 6.4 | 711.45 | −399.32 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | 2,937.64 | 13.5 | 396.58 | −206.7 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes | 600 | 52.5 | 315 | −126.55 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | 3,916.24 | 5.5 | 215.39 | −616.36 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | 3,511.79 | 6.1 | 214.22 | +142.79 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | 13,031.08 | 1.6 | 201.98 | −257.42 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes | 5,178.22 | 3.2 | 163.11 | −458.27 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes | 3,230 | 4.6 | 150.19 | −528.11 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | 2,869.63 | 4.8 | 137.74 | −187.66 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | 394.52 | 32 | 126.25 | +17.94 |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | 4,605.18 | 2.5 | 115.13 | −616.9 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | 2,627.62 | 4.4 | 114.3 | −542.77 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 18,785.19 | 0.4 | 84.53 | −255.8 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No | 500 | 16.4 | 82 | −28 |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?OpenAI | 161.2 | 41.6 | 67.14 | +50.86 |
| Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | 56.07 | 97.6 | 54.7 | +4.28 |
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