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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 14.210,98 | 83,5 | 11.866,17 | +2.941,51 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | 5.704,69 | 90,5 | 5.162,75 | −66,61 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | 5.111,9 | 92,5 | 4.728,51 | −25,56 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | 4.804,2 | 90,5 | 4.347,8 | +353,8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | 5.000 | 76,5 | 3.825 | +25,38 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No | 4.000 | 89,5 | 3.580 | +20 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No | 3.000 | 92 | 2.760 | +30 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No | 2.470,13 | 75,5 | 1.864,95 | −37,05 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No | 1.970,75 | 94,5 | 1.862,36 | +59,81 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 2.050 | 81,5 | 1.670,75 | −49,25 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | 2.134,93 | 77 | 1.643,89 | −4,1 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 1.600 | 84,5 | 1.352 | −24 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | 1.500 | 80,5 | 1.207,5 | +36,81 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 1.155,86 | 87,5 | 1.011,38 | +152,88 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | 431,19 | 91,5 | 394,54 | +7,71 |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?No | 349,67 | 99,8 | 348,79 | +50,04 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?No | 341,51 | 99,4 | 339,63 | +40,34 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | 795,84 | 28,5 | 226,81 | −174,13 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | 250,08 | 85,5 | 213,82 | +6,25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 110 | 95,4 | 104,89 | +8,09 |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?No | 82,97 | 93,9 | 77,91 | +9,87 |
| Google announces a training pause by October 31?No | 29 | 94 | 27,26 | +1,16 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes | 20 | 4,6 | 0,93 | −0,27 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes | 2.500 | 0 | 0 | −1.950 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | 9.417,09 | 0 | 0 | −3.293,18 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | 1.203,76 | 0 | 0 | −622,87 |
| OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?No | 20 | 0 | 0 | −17,8 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes | 79,19 | 0 | 0 | −66,52 |
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