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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Biden finish his term?No | 26 656,93 | 0 | 0 | −14 999,99 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | 243 860,45 | 0 | 0 | −4 595,06 |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?Yes | 399 999,99 | 0 | 0 | −5 799,6 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | 387 483,37 | 0 | 0 | −999,71 |
| Will Michael Flynn win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | 22 657,16 | 0 | 0 | −1 199,97 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | 3 207 603,11 | 0 | 0 | −168 267,65 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | 115 817,23 | 0 | 0 | −2 018,58 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | 3 047 465,45 | 0 | 0 | −20 207,74 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | 246 437,3 | 0 | 0 | −499,77 |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | 1 435 787,35 | 0 | 0 | −13 097,25 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | 164 526,87 | 0 | 0 | −3 399,95 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | 500 000 | 0 | 0 | −1 500 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | 320 741,95 | 0 | 0 | −2 472,28 |
| Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | 298 574,21 | 0 | 0 | −999,92 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | 188 847,88 | 0 | 0 | −3 999,8 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | 15 209,02 | 0 | 0 | −1 999,97 |
| Kamala president by Friday?Yes | 82 925,72 | 0 | 0 | −6 999,93 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | 342 672,26 | 0 | 0 | −1 999,49 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | 664 433,81 | 0 | 0 | −32 293,48 |
| Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?Yes | 38 338,58 | 0 | 0 | −1 499,96 |
| Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | 124 124,13 | 0 | 0 | −1 022,04 |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | 800 000 | 0 | 0 | −2 200 |
| [Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | 3 000,49 | 0 | 0 | −450 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | 227 133,84 | 0 | 0 | −2 089,86 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | 846 844,02 | 0 | 0 | −96 548,69 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | 214 514,54 | 0 | 0 | −1 026,02 |
| Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | 16 295,37 | 0 | 0 | −32,59 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | 2 079 895,9 | 0 | 0 | −11 208,56 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | 99 863,17 | 0 | 0 | −6 538,74 |
| Will Biden resign during his speech today?Yes | 28 368,82 | 0 | 0 | −299,97 |
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