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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 5,438 | 79.2 | 4,309.61 | +1,590.61 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?Yes | 3,222 | 99.6 | 3,210.72 | +1,920.7 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams?No | 2,239.26 | 99 | 2,217.99 | +235.46 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2,401.41 | 81 | 1,945.14 | +505.16 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | 1,558.62 | 99.7 | 1,553.94 | +160.09 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 1,473.59 | 96.8 | 1,427.17 | +228.32 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | 1,826.92 | 77.5 | 1,415.86 | −54.28 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams?No | 1,253.5 | 98.4 | 1,234.07 | +368.63 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 5,438 | 20.8 | 1,128.38 | −1,590.62 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | 1,450 | 75.5 | 1,094.75 | +103.69 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?No | 1,060.13 | 98.6 | 1,044.76 | +312.64 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k?No | 1,000 | 99.8 | 997.5 | +27.5 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?No | 826.75 | 98.4 | 813.94 | +16.31 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?No | 807.17 | 91 | 734.53 | +69.16 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 783.49 | 88.5 | 693.39 | +57.5 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?No | 607.97 | 99.8 | 607.06 | +74.9 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 104m by October 31?Yes | 566.43 | 98.3 | 556.8 | +21.75 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?Yes | 495.32 | 99.8 | 494.33 | +124.17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | 502 | 90.8 | 455.56 | +31.83 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?No | 548.22 | 79.5 | 435.84 | −21.59 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 175k?No | 438.51 | 93 | 407.81 | +61.39 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?No | 404.5 | 99.7 | 403.29 | +47.33 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?No | 400 | 99.4 | 397.8 | +49.8 |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Yes | 480.34 | 75.5 | 362.66 | +119.56 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | 365.12 | 94.8 | 346.32 | +8.78 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public ofYes | 418.09 | 82.5 | 344.92 | +172.37 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026?No | 346.62 | 98.7 | 342.11 | +192.16 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?No | 369.62 | 91.5 | 338.2 | +36.13 |
| Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?No | 335 | 99.4 | 332.99 | +107.14 |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | 330.5 | 97.6 | 322.73 | +129.89 |
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