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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 6.488 | 79,2 | 5.141,74 | +1.897,74 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?Yes | 3.222 | 96,8 | 3.120,51 | +1.830,49 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams?No | 2.239,26 | 99 | 2.216,87 | +234,34 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2.401,41 | 81 | 1.945,14 | +505,16 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | 1.826,92 | 78,5 | 1.434,13 | −36,02 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 1.473,59 | 97 | 1.430,12 | +231,27 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 6.488 | 20,8 | 1.346,26 | −1.897,74 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams?No | 1.253,5 | 98,4 | 1.234,07 | +368,63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | 1.450 | 75,5 | 1.094,75 | +103,69 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?No | 1.060,13 | 98,4 | 1.043,7 | +311,58 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k?No | 1.000 | 99,8 | 997,5 | +27,5 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?No | 831,75 | 96,2 | 800,14 | −2,47 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?No | 807,17 | 90,5 | 730,49 | +65,12 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 783,49 | 88,5 | 693,39 | +57,5 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?Yes | 495,32 | 97,7 | 483,93 | +113,77 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?No | 548,22 | 79,5 | 435,84 | −21,59 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 175k?No | 438,51 | 94,4 | 414,17 | +67,75 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?No | 404,5 | 100 | 404,3 | +48,34 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?No | 400 | 99,4 | 397,8 | +49,8 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public ofYes | 418,09 | 85,5 | 357,47 | +184,91 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | 365,12 | 94,8 | 346,32 | +8,78 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?No | 369,62 | 91,5 | 338,2 | +36,13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | 451,13 | 74,2 | 334,51 | −46,29 |
| Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?No | 335 | 99,4 | 332,99 | +107,14 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?No | 351,32 | 88,5 | 310,92 | +26,59 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?No | 323,41 | 95,2 | 307,72 | +116,02 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | 318,8 | 95,2 | 303,34 | +23,11 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 538,28 | 55 | 296,05 | −14,22 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | 292,09 | 97,9 | 285,96 | +56,57 |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Yes | 480,34 | 59,5 | 285,8 | +42,71 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.