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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | 6 488 | 79,2 | 5 141,74 | +1 897,74 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 40m first week streams?Yes | 3 222 | 98,2 | 3 165,61 | +1 875,6 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams?No | 2 239,26 | 99 | 2 216,87 | +234,34 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2 401,41 | 81,5 | 1 957,15 | +517,17 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No | 1 558,62 | 100 | 1 557,84 | +163,99 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes | 1 826,92 | 78,5 | 1 434,13 | −36,02 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | 1 473,59 | 97 | 1 430,12 | +231,27 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | 6 488 | 20,8 | 1 346,26 | −1 897,74 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 60m first week streams?No | 1 253,5 | 98,4 | 1 234,07 | +368,63 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | 1 450 | 75,5 | 1 094,75 | +103,69 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?No | 1 060,13 | 98,4 | 1 043,7 | +311,58 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k?No | 1 000 | 99,8 | 997,5 | +27,5 |
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?No | 831,75 | 99 | 823,43 | +20,82 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?No | 807,17 | 90,5 | 730,49 | +65,12 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 783,49 | 88,5 | 693,39 | +57,5 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?No | 607,97 | 100 | 607,67 | +75,5 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?Yes | 495,32 | 97,7 | 483,93 | +113,77 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?No | 548,22 | 79,5 | 435,84 | −21,59 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 175k?No | 438,51 | 94 | 411,98 | +65,56 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?No | 404,5 | 99,4 | 402,28 | +46,32 |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?No | 400 | 99,4 | 397,8 | +49,8 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | 451,13 | 80,4 | 362,48 | −18,32 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | 365,12 | 94,6 | 345,4 | +7,87 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public ofYes | 418,09 | 82 | 342,83 | +170,28 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Nova?No | 369,62 | 91,5 | 338,2 | +36,13 |
| Will John Ternus attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?No | 335 | 99,4 | 332,99 | +107,14 |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?No | 330,5 | 100 | 330,33 | +137,49 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?No | 323,41 | 95,2 | 307,89 | +116,18 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?No | 351,32 | 86,5 | 303,89 | +19,57 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes | 318,8 | 94,8 | 302,22 | +21,99 |
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