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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | 350.000,15 | 13,5 | 47.250,02 | −9.997,4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 20.643,83 | 37,5 | 7.741,44 | +833,68 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 16.474,68 | 43,5 | 7.166,48 | +322,87 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | 97.209,67 | 6,5 | 6.318,63 | −98,57 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | 28.999,89 | 20,5 | 5.944,98 | +487,05 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 5.000 | 99,8 | 4.987,5 | +359,01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | 5.999,86 | 65,5 | 3.929,91 | +576,91 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 10.668,01 | 32,5 | 3.467,1 | +414,56 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No | 4.000,33 | 60,5 | 2.420,2 | +312,31 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | 2.999,99 | 40,9 | 1.227 | +129,46 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes | 12.080,08 | 7,5 | 906,01 | −677,8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | 2.799,67 | 28,5 | 797,9 | −47,24 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | 9.999,88 | 6,5 | 649,99 | −350 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | 7.000 | 7,5 | 525 | −105 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | 4.000,21 | 12,5 | 500,03 | −140,01 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | 8.653,37 | 5,5 | 475,94 | −231,44 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No | 3.200 | 10 | 320 | −66,23 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | 3.001,12 | 10,5 | 315,12 | −15 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | 5.999,91 | 4,9 | 294 | −64,02 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | 1.989,1 | 12,6 | 251,62 | +251,62 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | 3.999,78 | 6,2 | 249,99 | −112,69 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes | 2.148,57 | 11,5 | 247,09 | −89,79 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | 1.499,99 | 14,5 | 217,5 | −7,5 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Yes | 3.000,39 | 6 | 180,02 | −35,84 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | 699,92 | 24,5 | 171,48 | +171,48 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | 1.926,52 | 8,5 | 163,75 | −269,87 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Yes | 1.300 | 12,5 | 162,5 | −58,5 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No | 177,82 | 87,4 | 155,32 | +32,82 |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026?No | 151 | 99,4 | 150,02 | +2,52 |
| Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?Yes | 582,27 | 24,5 | 142,66 | +8,73 |
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