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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 3,128.37 | 76.5 | 2,393.2 | +1,039.13 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?No | 671.12 | 96.4 | 646.96 | +178.02 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 422.89 | 27.5 | 116.29 | −132.1 |
| Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 226.19 | 45.5 | 102.92 | +16.66 |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 149.25 | 57 | 85.07 | +14.61 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 246.77 | 24 | 59.23 | −86.09 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 55.71 | 35.5 | 19.78 | +0.28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes | 48.39 | 36.5 | 17.66 | −1.88 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes | 47.69 | 33.5 | 15.97 | −3.58 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 17.67 | 77.5 | 13.69 | +6.8 |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No | 80.92 | 16 | 12.95 | −6.47 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 148.77 | 8.5 | 12.65 | −6.69 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | 20.2 | 45 | 9.09 | −4.04 |
| Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?Yes | 38.49 | 6 | 2.31 | −17.32 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?Yes | 175.64 | 0.8 | 1.49 | −17.83 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 45.85 | 2.8 | 1.26 | −10.18 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 77.54 | 1.3 | 1.01 | −3.99 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | 3 | 13 | 0.39 | +0.09 |
| Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | 438.58 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | 54.09 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | 278.89 | 0 | 0 | −5.86 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | 39.5 | 0 | 0 | −3.2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 450 | 0 | 0 | −7.79 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | 27.36 | 0 | 0 | −6.26 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026?Yes | 465.43 | 0 | 0 | −4.63 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | 63.94 | 0 | 0 | −19.32 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?No | 5,910.01 | 0 | 0 | −43.84 |
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