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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | 3.128,37 | 74 | 2.314,99 | +960,92 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?No | 671,12 | 95,6 | 641,92 | +172,98 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 422,89 | 24,5 | 103,61 | −144,79 |
| Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 226,19 | 42,5 | 96,13 | +9,88 |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 149,25 | 55,5 | 82,83 | +12,37 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | 246,77 | 24 | 59,23 | −86,09 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 55,71 | 35,5 | 19,78 | +0,28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes | 48,39 | 36,5 | 17,66 | −1,88 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes | 47,69 | 33,5 | 15,97 | −3,58 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | 17,67 | 74,5 | 13,16 | +6,27 |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?No | 80,92 | 16 | 12,95 | −6,47 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | 148,77 | 8,5 | 12,65 | −6,69 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | 20,2 | 48 | 9,69 | −3,43 |
| Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?Yes | 38,49 | 6,5 | 2,5 | −17,13 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 45,85 | 3,2 | 1,44 | −10 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?Yes | 175,64 | 0,8 | 1,41 | −17,91 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 77,54 | 1,3 | 1,01 | −3,99 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | 3 | 12,5 | 0,38 | +0,07 |
| Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | 438,58 | 0 | 0 | −1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | 54,09 | 0 | 0 | −5 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | 278,89 | 0 | 0 | −5,86 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | 39,5 | 0 | 0 | −3,2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | 450 | 0 | 0 | −7,79 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | 27,36 | 0 | 0 | −6,26 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026?Yes | 465,43 | 0 | 0 | −4,63 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | 63,94 | 0 | 0 | −19,32 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?No | 5.910,01 | 0 | 0 | −43,84 |
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