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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | 100 | 76,5 | 76,5 | +0,5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 100 | 60,5 | 60,5 | +2,5 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?No | 99,99 | 55 | 55 | −14,5 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100 | 54,5 | 54,5 | −17,5 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100 | 47 | 47 | +3,5 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 100 | 43,5 | 43,5 | −14 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?No | 60 | 63 | 37,8 | −1,8 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 67 | 33,5 | +3 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Yes | 50 | 67 | 33,5 | −3,5 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No | 40 | 78,4 | 31,34 | −0,26 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?No | 49 | 60,5 | 29,64 | −8,57 |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?No | 60 | 48 | 28,8 | −4,8 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No | 50 | 52 | 26 | −2,5 |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | 51,24 | 49,5 | 25,36 | −1,64 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 50 | 48 | 24 | −8,5 |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 30 | 78,5 | 23,55 | −2,55 |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?No | 50 | 45,7 | 22,85 | +3,85 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?No | 50 | 45,5 | 22,75 | −4,25 |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?No | 50 | 45,5 | 22,75 | −6,75 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No | 60 | 37,5 | 22,5 | −5,1 |
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?No | 30 | 72,5 | 21,75 | −0,15 |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Minnesota | 30 | 71,5 | 21,45 | +0,75 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No | 31 | 66,5 | 20,61 | +0,15 |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No | 50 | 38,8 | 19,43 | −4,57 |
| Will Cameron Skattebo have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | 30 | 63 | 18,9 | −1,8 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?No | 40,01 | 47 | 18,8 | −5,6 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Yes | 42,45 | 43,5 | 18,47 | +2,33 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?O 7.5 | 30 | 57 | 17,1 | −0,9 |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | 26 | 65,5 | 17,03 | +0,65 |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes | 63,54 | 26,5 | 16,84 | −4,99 |
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Snapshot of the moment, from Polymarket's public data. Not investment advice.