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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | 100 | 75,5 | 75,5 | −0,5 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?No | 99,99 | 58 | 58 | −11,5 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 100 | 57,5 | 57,5 | −0,5 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100 | 55 | 55 | −17 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | 75,35 | 69,5 | 52,37 | −6,78 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?No | 50 | 100 | 49,98 | +10,48 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | 100 | 42,5 | 42,5 | −15 |
| Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?No | 50 | 84,5 | 42,25 | −1,75 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?No | 60 | 68,5 | 41,1 | +1,5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 12%-15%?No | 50 | 78 | 39 | −1 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | 100 | 35,5 | 35,5 | −8 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No | 50 | 66,5 | 33,25 | +2,75 |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?No | 60 | 55 | 33 | −0,6 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No | 40 | 77,5 | 31 | +5,8 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?No | 49 | 58 | 28,42 | −9,8 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | 50 | 53 | 26,5 | +3 |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 30 | 83 | 24,9 | −1,2 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No | 60 | 41,5 | 24,9 | −2,7 |
| Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | 40 | 62 | 24,8 | −0,4 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?No | 50 | 49,4 | 24,7 | −10,3 |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | 51,24 | 48 | 24,6 | −2,41 |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Yes | 70 | 34 | 23,8 | −8,7 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?No | 30 | 79 | 23,7 | −0,9 |
| Will Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?No | 30 | 78,5 | 23,55 | −0,45 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?No | 50 | 45,5 | 22,75 | −4,25 |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Minnesota | 30 | 73,5 | 22,05 | +1,35 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | 50 | 43 | 21,5 | −11 |
| Will the Vancouver Canucks finish the 2026-27 regular season with the fewest points?No | 30 | 69,5 | 20,85 | −2,25 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?No | 30 | 68,5 | 20,55 | −0,45 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No | 31 | 65 | 20,15 | −0,31 |
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