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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 175.99 | 79.5 | 139.91 | +15.68 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?No | 142.6 | 96 | 136.97 | +6.55 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 98.73 | 98.4 | 97.1 | −0.02 |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 97.01 | 99.4 | 96.48 | +0.18 |
| Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | 98.59 | 97 | 95.58 | −0.01 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 100.19 | 83.8 | 84.01 | +10.78 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | 102.37 | 80.5 | 82.41 | −0.61 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | 92.26 | 87.2 | 80.5 | +0.36 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No | 86.94 | 82.5 | 71.73 | −4.31 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | 92.39 | 76.5 | 70.68 | −0.34 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 97.95 | 67.5 | 66.11 | +8.48 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 60 | 99.4 | 59.67 | +0.33 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | 69.9 | 77.4 | 54.06 | −0.59 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | 64.77 | 82 | 53.11 | −2.14 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No | 72.39 | 73.2 | 52.95 | −1.47 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 54.99 | 96.2 | 52.87 | +14.08 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No | 57.18 | 90.4 | 51.69 | +0.49 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | 52.83 | 97 | 51.22 | +40.52 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | 260 | 19.5 | 50.7 | −27.3 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 64.04 | 77.5 | 49.63 | −3.97 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 57.66 | 82 | 47.28 | −0.45 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No | 58.02 | 78.8 | 45.69 | −1.96 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No | 57.17 | 79.5 | 45.45 | −1.04 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | 59.99 | 73.5 | 44.09 | +0.3 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 55 | 77.5 | 42.62 | +5.52 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 62.63 | 67.5 | 42.27 | −1.36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | 51.52 | 81 | 41.73 | +5.56 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | 43.33 | 96.2 | 41.7 | +0.29 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 145.74 | 28.5 | 41.54 | −71 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No | 57 | 70.5 | 40.19 | +0.02 |
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