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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | 175,99 | 80,5 | 141,67 | +17,44 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?No | 142,6 | 96,6 | 137,68 | +7,26 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 98,73 | 98,4 | 97,1 | −0,02 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 110,04 | 87,5 | 96,28 | +0,95 |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 97,01 | 99,1 | 96,14 | −0,16 |
| Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | 98,59 | 96,9 | 95,53 | −0,06 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | 112,37 | 80,5 | 90,46 | −0,66 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No | 102,25 | 88,2 | 90,13 | +1,22 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | 100,19 | 79,1 | 79,25 | +5,25 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | 102,39 | 76,5 | 78,33 | −0,39 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No | 86,94 | 82,5 | 71,73 | −4,31 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 97,95 | 64,5 | 63,18 | +4,73 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 113,68 | 52,5 | 59,68 | −6,86 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | 60 | 99,4 | 59,67 | +0,33 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No | 64,77 | 85,5 | 55,38 | +0,13 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | 54,99 | 96,5 | 53,06 | +14,27 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No | 72,39 | 72,8 | 52,66 | −1,76 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No | 57,18 | 91,4 | 52,29 | +1,09 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?No | 69,9 | 74,2 | 51,83 | −2,83 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | 52,83 | 97,6 | 51,53 | +40,84 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No | 260 | 19,5 | 50,7 | −27,3 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | 64,04 | 77,5 | 49,63 | −3,97 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No | 57,06 | 84 | 47,9 | +0,43 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No | 58,02 | 82,6 | 47,89 | +0,24 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No | 67 | 70,5 | 47,23 | −0,03 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | 57,66 | 81,6 | 47,08 | −0,66 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | 55 | 81,5 | 44,82 | +7,72 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No | 57,17 | 77,5 | 44,31 | −2,18 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | 59,92 | 70,8 | 42,4 | −1,6 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | 62,63 | 67,5 | 42,27 | −1,36 |
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