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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 24,106.26 | 65.5 | 15,789.6 | +2,715.2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | 9,190.14 | 99.8 | 9,176.35 | +592.14 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 4,255.41 | 99.7 | 4,242.64 | +259.89 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | 4,157.65 | 99 | 4,116.07 | +695.08 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No | 4,028.93 | 88.5 | 3,565.6 | +11.6 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | 3,368.32 | 99.6 | 3,356.53 | +286.48 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?No | 3,194.32 | 93.5 | 2,986.69 | +45.39 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 2,147.35 | 98.8 | 2,122.66 | +61.66 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 2,300 | 79.5 | 1,828.5 | −149.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 2,000 | 88.5 | 1,770 | +110 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | 1,980 | 80.5 | 1,593.9 | +99.9 |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?No | 1,228.84 | 99.1 | 1,217.78 | +12.78 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes | 1,111 | 89.5 | 994.35 | +6.88 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1,446.59 | 68.5 | 990.91 | −91.95 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?No | 780.91 | 99.6 | 777.4 | +59.83 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 805.09 | 86.5 | 696.4 | −12.08 |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No | 578.94 | 98.7 | 571.41 | +27.72 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?No | 538.06 | 96.5 | 519.23 | +8.91 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | 1,728.82 | 29.5 | 510 | −258.07 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | 500 | 100 | 499.75 | +76 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?No | 498.64 | 98.2 | 489.42 | +46.61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 464.97 | 95.7 | 444.98 | +17.42 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | 316 | 85.5 | 270.18 | −4.68 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 200 | 87.5 | 175 | +45 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 190 | 87.5 | 166.25 | +12.25 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 190.99 | 81.5 | 155.65 | +31.07 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?No | 150 | 99.5 | 149.25 | +23.75 |
| Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?No | 244.16 | 53.5 | 130.63 | −38.97 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 147.06 | 84.5 | 124.26 | +24.26 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | 524.16 | 22.5 | 117.94 | −191.26 |
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