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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 24 106,26 | 65,5 | 15 789,6 | +2 715,2 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | 4 255,41 | 100 | 4 253,28 | +270,53 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | 4 157,65 | 100 | 4 155,57 | +734,57 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No | 4 028,93 | 94,5 | 3 807,34 | +253,34 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?No | 3 194,32 | 96,6 | 3 084,12 | +142,82 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | 2 147,35 | 100 | 2 146,28 | +85,28 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | 2 300 | 79,5 | 1 828,5 | −149,5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | 2 000 | 88,5 | 1 770 | +110 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No | 1 980 | 83,5 | 1 653,3 | +159,3 |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?No | 1 228,84 | 100 | 1 228,22 | +23,23 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes | 1 111 | 92,5 | 1 027,67 | +40,21 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | 1 446,59 | 66,5 | 961,98 | −120,88 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes | 1 040 | 90,5 | 941,2 | +5,2 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?No | 780,91 | 99,6 | 777,79 | +60,22 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No | 805,09 | 89,5 | 720,56 | +12,08 |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No | 578,94 | 100 | 578,65 | +34,95 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | 1 728,82 | 30,5 | 527,29 | −240,78 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?No | 538,06 | 97,1 | 522,46 | +12,14 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | 500 | 100 | 499,75 | +76 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?No | 498,64 | 98,6 | 491,41 | +48,61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | 464,97 | 95,8 | 445,21 | +17,65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No | 316 | 93,5 | 295,46 | +20,6 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No | 200 | 88,5 | 177 | +47 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | 190 | 86 | 163,4 | +9,4 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | 190,99 | 83 | 158,52 | +33,93 |
| Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?No | 244,16 | 61,5 | 150,16 | −19,44 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?No | 150 | 99,6 | 149,4 | +23,9 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | 147,06 | 84,5 | 124,26 | +24,26 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | 524,16 | 21,5 | 112,69 | −196,51 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | 100 | 88,5 | 88,5 | +13,5 |
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