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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 1,033.95 | 61.5 | 635.88 | +486.44 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 1,500 | 39 | 585 | +466.35 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | 708.99 | 73.5 | 521.11 | +82.61 |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | 471.01 | 100 | 470.77 | +33.6 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 564.4 | 61 | 344.28 | −20.33 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?No | 349.99 | 83 | 290.49 | +7.07 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 494.99 | 51 | 252.44 | +148 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 185.9 | 82 | 152.44 | +13.62 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 218.14 | 64 | 139.61 | +11.43 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 262.75 | 53 | 139.26 | +46.84 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 188.25 | 73 | 137.42 | +9.25 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 472.55 | 24.7 | 116.72 | +110.97 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 723.38 | 15.4 | 111.4 | +91.3 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 183.55 | 59.5 | 109.22 | +46.99 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes | 150 | 72 | 108 | −4.2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | 140.21 | 71.8 | 100.6 | −14.39 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 164.21 | 49 | 80.46 | +48.89 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 100 | 78.5 | 78.5 | +17.23 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 142 | 48 | 68.16 | +14 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 82.87 | 82 | 67.95 | +3.96 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 300 | 20.5 | 61.5 | −9 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 100.03 | 51.5 | 51.52 | +29.11 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 162.58 | 31.5 | 51.21 | +9.51 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 118.21 | 34 | 40.19 | +12.87 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 101.12 | 33.6 | 33.98 | −24.29 |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 182.71 | 18.5 | 33.8 | +8.78 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Yes | 195 | 17 | 33.15 | +11.7 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | 40 | 75.5 | 30.2 | +3 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 185.81 | 15.5 | 28.8 | +8.36 |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 70.43 | 38.2 | 26.87 | +17.03 |
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