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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 1 033,95 | 60 | 620,37 | +470,93 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | 1 500 | 37,5 | 562,5 | +443,85 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | 708,99 | 74 | 524,65 | +86,16 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes | 385,15 | 77,5 | 298,49 | +9,02 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?No | 349,99 | 83 | 290,49 | +7,07 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 494,99 | 45,5 | 225,22 | +120,77 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 472,55 | 44,6 | 210,76 | +205,01 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 471,51 | 43,5 | 205,11 | −99,5 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 185,9 | 81,5 | 151,51 | +12,69 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 218,14 | 65,2 | 142,34 | +14,15 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 188,25 | 73,5 | 138,36 | +10,19 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 262,75 | 46,5 | 122,18 | +29,76 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes | 736,61 | 15,2 | 112,33 | +88,64 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 183,55 | 60 | 110,13 | +47,9 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 164,21 | 49 | 80,46 | +48,89 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 100 | 78,5 | 78,5 | +17,23 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 142 | 48,5 | 68,87 | +14,71 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 300 | 20,5 | 61,5 | −9 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 162,58 | 30,5 | 49,59 | +7,89 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 100,03 | 43,5 | 43,51 | +21,11 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 118,21 | 35 | 41,37 | +14,05 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes | 101,12 | 38 | 38,48 | −19,79 |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | 70,43 | 48,6 | 34,26 | +24,42 |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes | 182,71 | 18,5 | 33,8 | +8,78 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | 69,99 | 46 | 32,2 | +9,8 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?Yes | 195 | 16 | 31,2 | +9,75 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | 40 | 75,5 | 30,2 | +3 |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Yes | 276,43 | 9,5 | 26,26 | −1,91 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | 185,81 | 13 | 24,16 | +3,72 |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Yes | 250 | 9,5 | 23,75 | −8,75 |
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