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| Market | Qty | Price (¢) | Value (US$) | Result (US$) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Yes | 757 | 71.5 | 541.26 | −133.54 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No | 530.51 | 91 | 482.5 | −10.87 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?No | 600 | 79 | 474 | −12 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes | 554.64 | 83.5 | 463.12 | −36.02 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes | 600 | 75.9 | 455.4 | −19.77 |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | 599.99 | 73.5 | 440.99 | −45 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?No | 577.32 | 72.5 | 418.56 | −17.64 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?No | 533.89 | 76 | 405.76 | −29.13 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | 516.78 | 77 | 397.92 | −30.07 |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?No | 596.97 | 66.5 | 396.99 | −54.84 |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | 538.53 | 73.5 | 395.82 | −8.08 |
| Will Atalanta finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?No | 599.99 | 65.5 | 392.99 | −117.92 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?No | 540.01 | 70.5 | 380.71 | −40.5 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes | 560 | 67.5 | 378 | −29.89 |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No | 594.99 | 62.5 | 371.87 | −90.34 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Yes | 599.99 | 60.2 | 361.49 | −52.09 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?No | 498.33 | 70.5 | 351.32 | −32.75 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?No | 468.91 | 74.5 | 349.34 | −2.3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?No | 453.91 | 75.5 | 342.7 | −5.61 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No | 600 | 56.5 | 339 | −105 |
| Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Yes | 486.31 | 68.5 | 333.12 | −23.79 |
| Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | 600 | 55.5 | 333 | −90.9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes | 367.24 | 90 | 330.51 | +41.79 |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No | 456.66 | 69.5 | 317.38 | −15.98 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | 527.88 | 59.6 | 314.62 | −183.17 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?No | 516.8 | 60.5 | 312.66 | −97.97 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No | 421.92 | 73.5 | 310.11 | +6.33 |
| Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?Anduril | 594.83 | 51.5 | 306.34 | −127.89 |
| Will SC Freiburg qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No | 408.43 | 73.5 | 300.2 | −8.08 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | 350.52 | 84.6 | 296.36 | −14.9 |
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